Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rapid City, Rapid City Regional Airport (KRAP)

Lat: 44.05°NLon: 103.05°WElev: 3202ft.

Overcast

67°F

19°C

Humidity 76%
Wind Speed N 17 mph
Barometer 30.02 in (1015.0 mb)
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 4:52 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

Rapid City SD

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Patchy fog.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 66. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 66 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am.  Areas of smoke after 3am. Patchy fog. Low around 53. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm.  Areas of smoke before noon. Areas of fog. High near 59. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 59 °F

    Showers and
    Areas Fog

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Areas of fog before midnight.  Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 49 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Areas Fog

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 78 °F

    Decreasing
    Clouds

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 60 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

    High: 85 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 85.

    High: 85 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 66. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2am. Areas of smoke after 3am. Patchy fog. Low around 53. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly before 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. Areas of smoke before noon. Areas of fog. High near 59. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Areas of fog before midnight. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming sunny, with a high near 78. South wind 5 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 60. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 85. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Saturday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 85.
Saturday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91.
Monday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 63.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 91.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Rapid City SD
 44.08°N 103.24°W (Elev. 3291 ft)
3:50 pm MDT Jul 15, 2025
5pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 22, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database