Severe Weather in the Central U.S.; Heavy Rain in the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic

Scattered severe thunderstorms capable of producing severe gusts, large hail, and perhaps a couple tornadoes are forecast from the north-central High Plains into the Upper Mississippi Valley. Widespread thunderstorms may produce excessive rainfall across portions of the Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic. Hot conditions and Critical Fire Weather looms over the Great Basin and Southwest through midweek. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rapid City, Rapid City Regional Airport (KRAP)

Lat: 44.05°NLon: 103.05°WElev: 3202ft.

Fair

68°F

20°C

Humidity 55%
Wind Speed N 15 mph
Barometer 30.01 in (1013.3 mb)
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 7:52 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SW Ellsworth Air Force Base SD

  • Today

    Today: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 4pm. Some of the storms could be severe.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 82. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny then
    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 3am. Some of the storms could be severe.  Low around 57. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Low: 57 °F

    Severe
    Thunderstorms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  High near 73. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 73 °F

    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 53. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 53 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 82. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 57 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    High: 89 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. East wind around 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 62 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 92.

    High: 92 °F

    Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly between 2pm and 4pm. Some of the storms could be severe. Increasing clouds, with a high near 82. North wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 3am. Some of the storms could be severe. Low around 57. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High near 73. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Tuesday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 53. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 82. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 57. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 89. Southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. East wind around 10 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 92.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 62.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 96.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 60.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SW Ellsworth Air Force Base SD
 44.12°N 103.12°W (Elev. 3136 ft)
6:29 am MDT Jun 16, 2025
8am MDT Jun 16, 2025-6pm MDT Jun 22, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database