National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Fire Weather in the Central and Southern Plains; Pacific Storms Impacting the West

Gusty to high winds and low relative humidity will bring elevated to critical fire weather to the central and southern Plains into Wednesday. Two Pacific storms will impact the western U.S. into Wednesday with gusty winds, low elevation rain, and heavy mountain snow. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rapid City, Rapid City Regional Airport (KRAP)

Lat: 44.05°NLon: 103.05°WElev: 3202ft.

Fair

34°F

1°C

Humidity 50%
Wind Speed SE 3 mph
Barometer 29.46 in (997.5 mb)
Dewpoint 17°F (-8°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 17 Feb 1:52 am MST
Extended Forecast for

Ellsworth Air Force Base SD

Red Flag Warning February 17, 11:00am until February 17, 06:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Red Flag Warning

  • Overnight

    Overnight: Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

    Low: 32 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 10 percent chance of showers after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.

    High: 62 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Wind chill values as low as 13. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph.

    Low: 25 °F

    Breezy.
    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Mostly Clear

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Wind chill values as low as 16. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

    High: 42 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Snow likely, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Blustery, with a north wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.

    Low: 11 °F

    Snow Likely
    and Blustery

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Snow. Patchy blowing snow before 3pm. High near 19. Blustery, with a north wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

    High: 19 °F

    Snow and
    Patchy
    Blowing Snow

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of snow before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 0. North wind 5 to 11 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 0 °F

    Slight Chance
    Snow then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 27. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 27 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A slight chance of snow before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 7.

    Low: 7 °F

    Slight Chance
    Snow then
    Partly Cloudy

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
Mostly clear, with a low around 32. Southeast wind around 9 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.
Tuesday
A 10 percent chance of showers after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 62. Breezy, with a south wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west 19 to 24 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 40 mph.
Tuesday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers before 8pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 25. Wind chill values as low as 13. Breezy, with a west wind 18 to 28 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 42. Wind chill values as low as 16. Northwest wind 13 to 16 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Wednesday Night
Snow likely, mainly after 11pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Blustery, with a north wind 16 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 32 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of around an inch possible.
Thursday
Snow. Patchy blowing snow before 3pm. High near 19. Blustery, with a north wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of snow before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 0. North wind 5 to 11 mph becoming west after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 27. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Friday Night
A slight chance of snow before 11pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 7.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 33.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 8.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 34.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 14.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 46.
Basemap Options
Click map to change the forecast location
Loading map...
Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Ellsworth Air Force Base SD
 44.15°N 103.1°W (Elev. 3202 ft)
Last Update:
11:32 pm MST Feb 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
2am MST Feb 17, 2026-6pm MST Feb 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
Get as KML Get as XML

Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation