Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Rapid City, Rapid City Regional Airport (KRAP)

Lat: 44.05°NLon: 103.05°WElev: 3202ft.

Fair

69°F

21°C

Humidity 38%
Wind Speed NW 3 mph
Barometer 29.43 in (994.0 mb)
Dewpoint 42°F (6°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 8:52 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles NNW Ellsworth Air Force Base SD

Wind Advisory June 17, 06:00am until June 17, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Wind Advisory
  • Tonight

    Tonight: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Breezy, with a west wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 41 mph.

    Low: 60 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Very windy, with a northwest wind 30 to 35 mph increasing to 39 to 44 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Sunny and
    Very Windy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Breezy, with a northwest wind 19 to 29 mph decreasing to 8 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    and Breezy
    then Partly
    Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. North wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.

    Low: 54 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy.

    High: 79 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Breezy.

    Low: 53 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 10pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 60. Breezy, with a west wind 9 to 14 mph increasing to 23 to 28 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 41 mph.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 75. Very windy, with a northwest wind 30 to 35 mph increasing to 39 to 44 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Breezy, with a northwest wind 19 to 29 mph decreasing to 8 to 18 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 43 mph.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75. Northwest wind 8 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Thursday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. North wind 8 to 13 mph becoming light and variable. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Juneteenth
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 6 to 11 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 22 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Breezy.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 74.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 77.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles NNW Ellsworth Air Force Base SD
 44.23°N 103.16°W (Elev. 3025 ft)
8:32 pm MDT Jun 16, 2026
9pm MDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm MDT Jun 23, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database