Severe Thunderstorms in the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest; Critical Fire Weather in the West; Dangerous Heat in the Central and Eastern U.S.

Severe thunderstorms are likely today across the northern Plains and into the upper Mississippi Valley. Gusty winds and dry conditions will result in widespread critical fire weather through Saturday across parts of the Four Corners region and the Great Basin. A significant and dangerous heat wave will expand from the Central U.S. into the Eastern U.S this weekend through much of next week. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rapid City, Rapid City Regional Airport (KRAP)

Lat: 44.05°NLon: 103.05°WElev: 3202ft.

Fair

101°F

38°C

Humidity 14%
Wind Speed SW 20 G 38 mph
Barometer 29.47 in (994.1 mb)
Dewpoint 44°F (7°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index97°F (36°C)
Last update 20 Jun 1:52 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

7 Miles NNW Ellsworth Air Force Base SD

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Sunny and hot, with a high near 103. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph becoming west. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

    High: 103 °F

    Hot and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.

    Low: 63 °F

    Mostly Clear
    and Breezy
    then Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 95. Breezy, with a southwest wind 10 to 20 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

    High: 95 °F

    Sunny then
    Sunny and
    Breezy

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    Low: 59 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Breezy, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.

    High: 78 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    and Breezy

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Breezy, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 48 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny, with a high near 74. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 52 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.

    High: 72 °F

    Showers
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny and hot, with a high near 103. Breezy, with a south wind 15 to 20 mph becoming west. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Tonight
Mostly clear, with a low around 63. Breezy, with a southwest wind 15 to 20 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 35 mph.
Saturday
Sunny, with a high near 95. Breezy, with a southwest wind 10 to 20 mph becoming north in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 59. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. Breezy, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. Breezy, with a northwest wind 15 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 74. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. East wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Tuesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 72.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 76.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Thursday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 81.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
7 Miles NNW Ellsworth Air Force Base SD
 44.23°N 103.16°W (Elev. 3025 ft)
1:30 pm MDT Jun 20, 2025
2pm MDT Jun 20, 2025-6pm MDT Jun 26, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database