National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Rapid City, Rapid City Regional Airport (KRAP)

Lat: 44.05°NLon: 103.05°WElev: 3202ft.

Fair

75°F

24°C

Humidity 31%
Wind Speed NW 3 mph
Barometer 29.46 in (994.5 mb)
Dewpoint 42°F (6°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 16 Jun 9:52 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles W Elm Springs SD

Wind Advisory June 17, 06:00am until June 17, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Wind Advisory

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming west 23 to 28 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 75. Very windy, with a northwest wind 31 to 36 mph increasing to 39 to 44 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Sunny and
    Very Windy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Windy, with a north wind 22 to 32 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Mostly Clear
    and Windy
    then Partly
    Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Breezy, with a northwest wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    High: 76 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    and Breezy
    then Mostly
    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northwest wind 5 to 14 mph becoming southwest in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.

    Low: 50 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 6 to 13 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    High: 82 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.

    Low: 55 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy.

    High: 79 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Breezy.

    Low: 54 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers between midnight and 2am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. Breezy, with a light and variable wind becoming west 23 to 28 mph in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 75. Very windy, with a northwest wind 31 to 36 mph increasing to 39 to 44 mph. Winds could gust as high as 55 mph.
Wednesday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Windy, with a north wind 22 to 32 mph decreasing to 10 to 20 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 76. Breezy, with a northwest wind 13 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 50. Northwest wind 5 to 14 mph becoming southwest in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph.
Juneteenth
Mostly sunny, with a high near 82. Northwest wind 6 to 13 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Friday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. Breezy.
Saturday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Breezy.
Sunday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Monday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 74.
Monday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Tuesday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles W Elm Springs SD
 44.32°N 102.54°W (Elev. 2605 ft)
Last Update:
9:49 pm MDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
9pm MDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm MDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation