Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Spearfish / Clyde Ice (KSPF)

Lat: 44.48°NLon: 103.78°WElev: 3898ft.

Fair

68°F

20°C

Humidity 60%
Wind Speed NW 10 mph
Barometer 29.93 in
Dewpoint 54°F (12°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 5:35 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

4 Miles WSW Lead SD

  • Overnight

    Overnight: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 60. West wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 60 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Increasing clouds, with a temperature falling to around 55 by 11am. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4am.  Patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 41. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Low: 41 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Patchy fog before 10am. High near 45. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 45 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 44. East wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 44 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 66 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 51 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    High: 71 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.

    Low: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

Detailed Forecast

Overnight
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 60. West wind around 5 mph.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a temperature falling to around 55 by 11am. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tuesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4am. Patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 41. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 10am. High near 45. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 44. East wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 71. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 70.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 53.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 75.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
4 Miles WSW Lead SD
 44.33°N 103.83°W (Elev. 6398 ft)
4:49 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
5am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database