Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

TOWER FALLS RANGER STATION AT YELLOWSTONE NP (TFAW4)

Lat: 44.916944°NLon: 110.420556°WElev: 6279.0ft.

NA

75°F

24°C

Humidity 44%
Wind Speed N 7 MPH
Barometer NA
Dewpoint 51°F (11°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 15 Jul 12:15 PM MDT
Extended Forecast for

5 Miles SE Cooke City MT

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  High near 67. West southwest wind 8 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 67 °F

    Showers

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between midnight and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am.  Low around 43. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph becoming east northeast after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 43 °F

    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 62. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 62 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 43 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a light west southwest wind becoming west 11 to 16 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.

    High: 72 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm.  Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Breezy, with a west wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light  after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy then
    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a light west wind becoming west northwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.

    High: 72 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms and
    Breezy

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.

    Low: 46 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Sunny, with a high near 74.

    High: 74 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 67. West southwest wind 8 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between midnight and 5am, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5am. Low around 43. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph becoming east northeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10am, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 62. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 43. East southeast wind 5 to 7 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a light west southwest wind becoming west 11 to 16 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph.
Thursday Night
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Breezy, with a west wind 10 to 15 mph becoming light after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 30 mph.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 72. Breezy, with a light west wind becoming west northwest 10 to 15 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 28 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Sunny, with a high near 74.
Saturday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Breezy.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 47.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Sunny, with a high near 71. Breezy.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
5 Miles SE Cooke City MT
 44.96°N 109.87°W (Elev. 8399 ft)
12:43 pm MDT Jul 15, 2025
1pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database