Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Current conditions at

Lake Elmo Airport (K21D)

Lat: 45°NLon: 92.85°WElev: 925ft.

Fair

82°F

28°C

Humidity 66%
Wind Speed S 16 G 22 mph
Barometer 29.91 in
Dewpoint 70°F (21°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index86°F (30°C)
Last update 15 Jul 11:15 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

Stillwater MN

Heat Advisory July 15, 12:00pm until July 15, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory
  • Today

    Today: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 97. South southwest wind around 15 mph.

    High: 91 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 9pm.  Low around 66. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.

    Low: 66 °F

    T-storms

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then showers likely between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm.  Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 64 by 5pm. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 69 °F

    Showers
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 1am.  Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 52. North wind 5 to 10 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 52 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Sunny, with a high near 73. North northeast wind around 5 mph.

    High: 73 °F

    Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 54 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Friday

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Light southeast wind becoming south southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.

    High: 77 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South southeast wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 63 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.

    High: 79 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 97. South southwest wind around 15 mph.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms likely, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 9pm. Low around 66. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a half and three quarters of an inch possible.
Wednesday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 10am, then showers likely between 10am and 1pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 1pm. Cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 64 by 5pm. North northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 10pm, then a chance of showers between 10pm and 1am. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low around 52. North wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 73. North northeast wind around 5 mph.
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Friday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 77. Light southeast wind becoming south southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning.
Friday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. South southeast wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 79. South southeast wind around 5 mph becoming west southwest in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. Northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 81. East wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. East southeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Stillwater MN
 45.06°N 92.82°W (Elev. 856 ft)
9:28 am CDT Jul 15, 2025
11am CDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm CDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database