Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Mobridge, Mobridge Municipal Airport (KMBG)

Lat: 45.55°NLon: 100.41°WElev: 1713ft.

Fair

68°F

20°C

Humidity 87%
Wind Speed N 13 G 25 mph
Barometer 29.86 in (1010.0 mb)
Dewpoint 64°F (18°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 8:52 am CDT
Extended Forecast for

Tolstoy SD

  • Today

    Today: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 68 by 5pm. Breezy, with a northeast wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 79 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am.  Cloudy, with a low around 54. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 54 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. North northeast wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    High: 63 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northeast wind 7 to 17 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind 7 to 14 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.

    High: 71 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 56 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm.  Partly sunny, with a high near 80. South southeast wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    High: 80 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. East wind 10 to 14 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 58 °F

    Chance
    T-storms

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph.

    High: 81 °F

    Partly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

Today
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a temperature falling to around 68 by 5pm. Breezy, with a northeast wind 6 to 11 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 29 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers after 5am. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Breezy, with a northeast wind 15 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 63. North northeast wind 14 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
Wednesday Night
A slight chance of showers before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. North northeast wind 7 to 17 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind 7 to 14 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Southeast wind 14 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Friday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. South southeast wind 16 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. East wind 10 to 14 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 81. Northeast wind 10 to 13 mph.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Tolstoy SD
 45.23°N 99.61°W (Elev. 1900 ft)
8:48 am CDT Jul 15, 2025
9am CDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm CDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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