National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Excessive Rainfall and Potential Tropical Cyclone in the South; Severe Thunderstorms in the Midwest

Excessive rainfall may produce locally considerable flash flooding over parts of the northwestern Gulf Coast, lower Mississippi River Valley, and Deep South through Thursday. Potential Tropical Cyclone One is forecast to become a tropical storm (Arthur) as it moves along or just off the northwestern Gulf coast through Wednesday. An outbreak of severe weather is forecast in the Midwest Wednesday. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Oakes Municipal Airport (K2D5)

Lat: 46.17°NLon: 98.08°WElev: 1335ft.

A Few Clouds

63°F

17°C

Humidity 68%
Wind Speed SE 13 mph
Barometer 29.44 in
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 16 Jun 8:15 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

6 Miles SSW Ashley ND

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Low around 52. Southeast wind 11 to 15 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 52 °F

    Scattered
    T-storms then
    Showers

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 65. Windy, with a west wind 20 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 65 °F

    Showers and
    Windy

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Breezy, with a northwest wind 18 to 23 mph decreasing to 11 to 16 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 46 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 67 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    Low: 46 °F

    Partly Cloudy
    then Slight
    Chance
    Showers

  • Juneteenth

    Juneteenth: Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    High: 72 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 7 to 16 mph becoming east after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.

    Low: 47 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 74 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A chance of showers, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Breezy, with an east wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.

    Low: 51 °F

    Chance
    Showers and
    Breezy

Detailed Forecast

Tonight
Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 1am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm between 1am and 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Low around 52. Southeast wind 11 to 15 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 4pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 4pm. High near 65. Windy, with a west wind 20 to 29 mph, with gusts as high as 38 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 2am, then a slight chance of showers between 2am and 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Breezy, with a northwest wind 18 to 23 mph decreasing to 11 to 16 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Thursday
A 20 percent chance of showers before 1pm. Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then becoming sunny, with a high near 67. Northwest wind 11 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Thursday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers after 1am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind 6 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Juneteenth
Sunny, with a high near 72. Northwest wind 11 to 18 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Friday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 47. Northwest wind 7 to 16 mph becoming east after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Saturday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 74. East wind 9 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Breezy, with an east wind 16 to 21 mph, with gusts as high as 26 mph.
Sunday
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. Breezy, with an east wind 20 to 22 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. East wind 13 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.
Monday
Partly sunny, with a high near 72. East wind 13 to 15 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 21 mph.
Monday Night
A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 50. Northwest wind 9 to 14 mph becoming east after midnight.
Tuesday
A chance of showers. Mostly sunny, with a high near 74.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
6 Miles SSW Ashley ND
 45.96°N 99.4°W
Last Update:
7:36 pm CDT Jun 16, 2026
Forecast Valid:
8pm CDT Jun 16, 2026-6pm CDT Jun 23, 2026
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation