National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Heavy Rainfall and Severe Thunderstorm Threats for the Plains and Southeast

A frontal boundary extending from the western High Plains to the Southeast will focus additional showers and thunderstorms this weekend. Some of these storms may become severe, alongside frequent lightning, and isolated instances of flash flooding. Meanwhile dry conditions will continue for the Great Basin where fire weather concerns linger. For the mid-Atlantic and Northeast, seasonable weather. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Oakes Municipal Airport (K2D5)

Lat: 46.17°NLon: 98.08°WElev: 1335ft.

Mostly Cloudy

70°F

21°C

Humidity 69%
Wind Speed SE 16 mph
Barometer 30.16 in
Dewpoint 59°F (15°C)
Visibility NA
Last update 2 Aug 5:15 pm CDT
Extended Forecast for

Ashley ND

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy smoke. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 63. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

    High: 63 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then a slight chance of showers between 4am and 5am. Patchy smoke. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 59 °F

    Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Patchy smoke before 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind around 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 75 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms and
    Patchy Fog

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Increasing clouds, with a low around 61. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Monday

    Monday: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    High: 78 °F

    Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: A slight chance of thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.

    Low: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Breezy, with a southeast wind 11 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph.

    High: 80 °F

    Breezy.
    Mostly Cloudy
    then Chance
    T-storms

  • Tuesday Night

    Tuesday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Breezy, with a southeast wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.

    Low: 61 °F

    Showers
    Likely and
    Breezy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.

    High: 84 °F

    Mostly Sunny

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy smoke. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 63. Southeast wind around 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Tonight
A chance of showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then a slight chance of showers between 4am and 5am. Patchy smoke. Patchy fog after 2am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 59. Southeast wind 10 to 17 mph, with gusts as high as 24 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Patchy smoke before 1pm. Patchy fog before 10am. Otherwise, partly sunny, with a high near 75. Southeast wind around 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Increasing clouds, with a low around 61. Northeast wind 6 to 10 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday
A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 78. Southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.
Monday Night
A slight chance of thunderstorms before 7pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 61. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 10%.
Tuesday
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 80. Breezy, with a southeast wind 11 to 16 mph increasing to 17 to 22 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 32 mph.
Tuesday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1am, then a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Breezy, with a southeast wind 11 to 20 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph.
Wednesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. Southwest wind 10 to 13 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 64. Southeast wind 8 to 10 mph.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 86. Southeast wind 8 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 64. Southeast wind 10 to 14 mph becoming northeast after midnight.
Friday
A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 82. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph.
Friday Night
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60.
Saturday
Partly sunny, with a high near 77.
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Forecast Area
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
Ashley ND
 46.02°N 99.34°W
Last Update:
4:51 pm CDT Aug 2, 2025
Forecast Valid:
5pm CDT Aug 2, 2025-6pm CDT Aug 9, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

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Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation