Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Spearfish / Clyde Ice (KSPF)

Lat: 44.48°NLon: 103.78°WElev: 3898ft.

Light Rain

63°F

17°C

Humidity 100%
Wind Speed NW 5 G 12 mph
Barometer 30.07 in
Dewpoint 63°F (17°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 7:15 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

2 Miles SW Lead SD

  • Today

    Today: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 61 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Showers
    Likely

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4am.  Patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 45. East wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 100%.

    Low: 45 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm.  Patchy fog before 10am. High near 48. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 90%.

    High: 48 °F

    Showers and
    Patchy Fog

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Low: 47 °F

    Chance
    Showers

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

    High: 71 °F

    Mostly Sunny

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 53 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 75. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.

    High: 75 °F

    Sunny

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm  in the evening.

    Low: 52 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 74.

    High: 74 °F

    Slight Chance
    Showers then
    Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

Today
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 3pm and 5pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 5pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. North wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before 4am, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm, mainly after 4am. Patchy fog after 11pm. Low around 45. East wind around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.
Wednesday
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm. Patchy fog before 10am. High near 48. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a steady temperature around 47. East wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
Thursday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71. South wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.
Thursday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Friday
Sunny, with a high near 75. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 15 mph.
Friday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 52. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
Saturday
A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 74.
Saturday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 78.
Sunday Night
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 55.
Monday
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 80.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
2 Miles SW Lead SD
 44.33°N 103.8°W (Elev. 5627 ft)
6:29 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
7am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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Hourly Weather Forecast

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