Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Perry Stokes Airport (KTAD)

Lat: 37.26°NLon: 104.33°WElev: 5738ft.

Fair

91°F

33°C

Humidity 17%
Wind Speed Vrbl 3 mph
Barometer 30.09 in (1009.5 mb)
Dewpoint 40°F (4°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index87°F (31°C)
Last update 15 Jul 11:54 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

28 Miles NNE Model CO

  • This Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Sunny, with a high near 96. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast.

    High: 96 °F

    Sunny

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Northeast wind around 10 mph becoming west in the evening.

    Low: 64 °F

    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 87. North northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south in the afternoon.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 87 °F

    Sunny then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of showers.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north northeast in the evening.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.

    Low: 60 °F

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 3pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 82 °F

    Partly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 10 to 15 mph.  New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 61 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Friday

    Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 90 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then Slight
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.

    Low: 62 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.

    High: 91 °F

    Sunny then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Sunny, with a high near 96. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast.
Tonight
Partly cloudy, with a low around 64. Northeast wind around 10 mph becoming west in the evening.
Wednesday
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Increasing clouds, with a high near 87. North northwest wind 10 to 15 mph becoming south in the afternoon. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 3am, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 60. South southwest wind 5 to 15 mph becoming north northeast in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between noon and 3pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Northeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. South wind 10 to 15 mph. New precipitation amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 90. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west after midnight.
Saturday
A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. West wind around 5 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Saturday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 62. Southwest wind around 10 mph.
Sunday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 63. South southwest wind around 10 mph.
Monday
Sunny, with a high near 93. West wind around 10 mph becoming north northeast in the afternoon.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
28 Miles NNE Model CO
 37.71°N 104.04°W (Elev. 5197 ft)
9:48 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
12pm MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

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