Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Fair

52°F

11°C

Humidity 47%
Wind Speed W 5 mph
Barometer 30.69 in
Dewpoint 32°F (0°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill51°F (11°C)
Last update 15 Jul 8:35 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

15 Miles SSW South Fork CO

  • Today

    Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm.  Increasing clouds, with a high near 67. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph.  New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 67 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 49 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  Areas of smoke before 7am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 64 °F

    Areas Smoke
    then T-storms
    Likely

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm  after midnight.  New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 48 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm.  High near 62. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the morning.  Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 62 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 46 °F

    Showers
    Likely then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon.  High near 62. West southwest wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 62 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 48 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon.  Partly sunny, with a high near 63. West southwest wind around 5 mph.  Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 63 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 67. West northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. Increasing clouds, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. North northwest wind around 5 mph becoming calm after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 62. Calm wind becoming south southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 62. West southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 63. West southwest wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. South southwest wind around 5 mph.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 48. West southwest wind around 5 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
15 Miles SSW South Fork CO
 37.48°N 106.78°W (Elev. 10446 ft)
6:38 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
8am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

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Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database