National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Southwest Monsoon Flooding; Northern Tier Storms and Fire Weather Threats

Monsoon rains up to 2 to 4 inches in some portions of Arizona and into Mexico may produce flash flooding of normally dry washes and potential for burn scar debris flows. A weather system may produce severe storms with damaging winds and large hail in the Upper Midwest. Gusty winds in the North Plains will keep fire weather threats critical. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Thunderstorm in Vicinity

54°F

12°C

Humidity 94%
Wind Speed SW 7 mph
Barometer 30.66 in
Dewpoint 52°F (11°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Wind Chill52°F (11°C)
Last update 23 Jul 5:15 pm MDT
Extended Forecast for

14 Miles SW South Fork CO

Flash Flood Watch until July 24, 12:00am
Click here for hazard details and duration
Flash Flood Watch
  •  
    Flash Flood Watch until July 24, 12:00am

    NOW until
    12:00am Sat

    Flash Flood Watch

  • This
    Afternoon

    This Afternoon: Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 69. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Heavy Rain

    High: 69 °F

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and 10pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 46. Light and variable wind becoming north northeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Heavy Rain

    Low: 46 °F

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    T-storms
    Likely

    High: 62 °F

  • Saturday
    Night

    Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 47 °F

  • Sunday

    Sunday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms after 9am. High near 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

    High: 60 °F

  • Sunday
    Night

    Sunday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    T-storms
    Likely then
    Slight Chance
    T-storms

    Low: 47 °F

  • Monday

    Monday: A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms after 9am. High near 61. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

    High: 61 °F

  • Monday
    Night

    Monday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. North wind 5 to 10 mph.

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

    Low: 47 °F

Detailed Forecast

This Afternoon
Showers and thunderstorms. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. High near 69. East northeast wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
Showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and 10pm, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after 10pm. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Low around 46. Light and variable wind becoming north northeast 5 to 10 mph in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. East wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Saturday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms after 9am. High near 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Sunday Night
Showers and thunderstorms likely before 9pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 9pm and midnight, then a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Monday
A slight chance of showers, then showers and thunderstorms after 9am. High near 61. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Monday Night
A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 47. North wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tuesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. North northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
Tuesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. West wind 5 to 10 mph becoming north northwest after midnight.
Wednesday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon.
Wednesday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. West wind around 10 mph becoming north after midnight.
Thursday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon.
Thursday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. West wind around 10 mph.
Friday
Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. South southwest wind around 10 mph.
Click Map For Forecast
Disclaimer
Map Legend
Point Forecast:
14 Miles SW South Fork CO
 37.5°N 106.81°W (Elev. 10797 ft)
Last Update:
2:41 pm MDT Jul 23, 2021
Forecast Valid:
5pm MDT Jul 23, 2021-6pm MDT Jul 30, 2021
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation