National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service United States Department of Commerce

Severe Weather Threats Across the Plains; Dangerous Heat and Wildfire Concerns for the West; Watching the Tropics

Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Central Plains accompanied by damaging wind gusts and large hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead to instances of flash flooding from the Plains and mid-Atlantic regions. The heavy rainfall threat continues across Florida and across the northern Gulf as we monitor a tropical disturbance tracking westward. Critical fire weather for the Great Basin. Read More >

Hazardous Weather Conditions

Current conditions at

Pagosa Springs, Wolf Creek Pass (KCPW)

Lat: 37.45°NLon: 106.8°WElev: 11759ft.

Fair

57°F

14°C

Humidity 41%
Wind Speed NW 3 mph
Barometer 30.67 in
Dewpoint 34°F (1°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Last update 15 Jul 10:35 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

16 Miles SW South Fork CO

  • Today

    Today: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 64 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Chance
    T-storms

  • Tonight

    Tonight: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming north northwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 50 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Wednesday

    Wednesday: Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. High near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 64 °F

    Areas Smoke
    then T-storms

  • Wednesday Night

    Wednesday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 46 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Mostly Cloudy

  • Thursday

    Thursday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 60. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    High: 60 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Thursday Night

    Thursday Night: Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Low around 45. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

    Low: 45 °F

    Showers then
    Chance
    Showers

  • Friday

    Friday: Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 59. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

    High: 59 °F

    Slight Chance
    T-storms then
    T-storms

  • Friday Night

    Friday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 5 mph.

    Low: 48 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

    High: 61 °F

    Mostly Sunny
    then T-storms
    Likely

Detailed Forecast

Today
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 1pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Tonight
A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm, then a slight chance of showers between 9pm and 10pm. Mostly cloudy, then gradually becoming mostly clear, with a low around 50. Southwest wind around 5 mph becoming north northwest in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 20%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday
Showers and thunderstorms likely between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. Areas of smoke before 7am. High near 64. West wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 46. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly between noon and 3pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 3pm. High near 60. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southwest in the morning. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Thursday Night
Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms between midnight and 3am, then a chance of showers after 3am. Low around 45. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming south after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.
Friday
Showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. High near 59. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. Southwest wind around 5 mph.
Saturday
Showers and thunderstorms likely after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 61. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 48. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south southeast after midnight.
Sunday
Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly sunny, with a high near 59. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday Night
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 47. West wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday
A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny, with a high near 62. West southwest wind 5 to 10 mph.
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Forecast Area
Tiles ©ESRI

ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
16 Miles SW South Fork CO
 37.48°N 106.81°W (Elev. 10843 ft)
Last Update:
9:48 am MDT Jul 15, 2025
Forecast Valid:
10am MDT Jul 15, 2025-6pm MDT Jul 21, 2025
 
Forecast Discussion
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database

National Digital Forecast Database Maximum Temperature Forecast

High Temperature

National Digital Forecast Database Weather Element Forecast

Chance of Precipitation