Heat Builds in the West; Severe Thunderstorms and Heavy Rain in the Upper Midwest and Mid-Mississippi Valley; Extremely Critical Fire Weather in the Northwest on Saturday

A heat wave over the Southwest will intensify this week, peaking and expanding into the Intermountain West and northern High Plains this weekend. Severe thunderstorms and heavy rainfall are expected over parts of the Upper Midwest to mid-Mississippi Valley today. Critical to extremely critical fire weather conditions from the Northwest and the northern Great Basin on Saturday and Sunday. Read More >

Current conditions at

Carlsbad, Cavern City Air Terminal Airport (KCNM)

Lat: 32.34°NLon: 104.26°WElev: 3294ft.

Fair

76°F

24°C

Humidity 58%
Wind Speed Calm
Barometer 30.04 in (1010.7 mb)
Dewpoint 60°F (16°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index78°F (26°C)
Last update 31 Jul 5:53 am MDT
Extended Forecast for

7 Miles SE Lakewood NM

Heat Advisory July 31, 11:00am until July 31, 08:00pm
Click here for hazard details and duration
Heat Advisory
  • Today

    Today: Sunny and hot, with a high near 105. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

    High: 105 °F

    Hot

  • Tonight

    Tonight: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then isolated showers between midnight and 3am.  Increasing clouds, with a low around 73. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northwest after midnight.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Low: 73 °F

    Isolated
    T-storms then
    Isolated
    Showers

  • Saturday

    Saturday: Isolated showers before 9am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after noon.  Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon.  Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    High: 96 °F

    Isolated
    Showers then
    Isolated
    T-storms

  • Saturday Night

    Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight.  Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable  after midnight.

    Low: 70 °F

    Chance
    T-storms then
    Partly Cloudy

  • Sunday

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 97. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.

    High: 97 °F

    Sunny

  • Sunday Night

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 73.

    Low: 73 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Monday

    Monday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 102.

    High: 102 °F

    Hot

  • Monday Night

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 74.

    Low: 74 °F

    Mostly Clear

  • Tuesday

    Tuesday: Sunny and hot, with a high near 102.

    High: 102 °F

    Hot

Detailed Forecast

Today
Sunny and hot, with a high near 105. Southeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then isolated showers between midnight and 3am. Increasing clouds, with a low around 73. Southeast wind 5 to 15 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday
Isolated showers before 9am, then isolated showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 96. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming east in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 70. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light and variable after midnight.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 97. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
Sunday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Monday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 102.
Monday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Tuesday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 102.
Tuesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 74.
Wednesday
Sunny, with a high near 99.
Wednesday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 73.
Thursday
Sunny, with a high near 99.
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ABOUT THIS FORECAST

 
Point Forecast:
7 Miles SE Lakewood NM
 32.55°N 104.25°W (Elev. 3386 ft)
5:07 am MDT Jul 31, 2026
6am MDT Jul 31, 2026-6pm MDT Aug 6, 2026
 
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Additional Resources

Radar & Satellite Image

Link to Local Radar Data Link to Satellite Data

Hourly Weather Forecast

National Digital Forecast Database