036
FXUS61 KCLE 170500
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
100 AM EDT Tue Sep 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
The influence of high pressure will persist across the region
through the week as the remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone
Eight pass to the east Tuesday night into Wednesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
12:30 AM Update...

The forecast remains largely unchanged overnight. Just tweaked
temps, dew points, and winds based on current observations.

930 PM EDT Update...
The forecast remains on track and no changes were needed with
this update. High clouds will continue to increase in the
eastern half of the area tonight. Can`t rule out some patchy fog
in NW OH as winds become light late tonight into early Tuesday
morning.

Previous Discussion...
Quiet and mostly dry weather is expected through the near term
period as the region remains under the influence of high
pressure.

The remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight will pass just
to the east of the area Tuesday night into Wednesday which
could kick off a few isolated rain showers along and east of the
I-71 corridor where surface convergence is largest. Better
precipitation coverage is possible closer to the PA border
where available moisture becomes more favorable. Otherwise,
we`ll be seeing an increase in mid to upper-level cloud cover
from the east and southeast tonight through Tuesday. Highs are
expected to remain above average in the upper 70s to lower 80s
with slightly higher humidity levels as well.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
The weather pattern will remain relatively quiet for the middle and
end of this week. A weakening upper level low pressure system will
be near the southern Appalachian Region on Wednesday. There will be
high and mid level cloudiness over our area from this low pressure
system. This system may throw back some limited moisture from east
to west into eastern Ohio for the middle of the week. Overall, there
will be alot of dry air to overcome for any appreciable rain
chances. We will slight chances of POPs Wednesday through Thursday
but any rainfall will be very light if measurable. Mostly dry
weather conditions will continue through the end of the week. By
Thursday, an upper level ridge will build in from the Midwest into
the Ohio Valley with more very warm and dry weather expected. High
temperatures are expected to be in the upper 70s to low 80s during
the short term period.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
The end of the week and weekend will bring summer like warm weather
with no rainfall insight. An upper level ridge will build in over
the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley by the weekend. Temperatures will
warm up into the low to upper 80s across the area this weekend. The
next potential rain maker may arrive with a cold front by early next
week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/...
Generally expect VFR conditions through the TAF period, but
there may be a brief period of non-VFR visibility in patchy fog
at KTOL late tonight into early Tuesday morning. With that being
said, confidence remains low since any fog will be patchy. High
clouds will increase from the southeast tonight into Tuesday as
moisture from the remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight
streams north from the Carolinas.

Winds will be out of the southeast or variable at around 5 knots
tonight before increasing to 5 to 10 knots by late Tuesday
morning/early afternoon. Northeast winds will develop in
response to the lake breeze at KCLE/KERI Tuesday afternoon and
northeast winds are also anticipated at KTOL/KFDY during the
same timeframe.

Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Saturday. Low
confidence in some non-VFR ceilings Wednesday night into
Thursday as the remnants of Potential Tropical Cyclone Eight
pass to the east.

&&

.MARINE...
Overall the weather will remain quiet and nice boating conditions
will continue through the end of the week on Lake Erie. High
pressure will remain in control or nearby for most of this week.
Generally Easterly to Northeasterly winds 10 to 15 knots will
continue through this week and waves of 1 to 3 feet are expected.
Winds will shift more from the south or southeast 5 to 10 knots by
the end of the week and weekend. We are not expecting any marine
headlines at this time.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Kahn
NEAR TERM...Garuckas/Kahn/Maines
SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Maines
MARINE...Griffin