512
FNUS22 KWNS 161912
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 PM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

Valid 171200Z - 181200Z

...19z Update...
Minimal changes were made to the prior forecast. The latest model
guidance has shown increasing humidity and rain chances across much
of the High Plains. However, at least a few hours of strong
southerly winds (20-25 mph) will likely interact with reasonably dry
fuels and RH below 30%. While confidence is not overly high, a few
hours of elevated fire-weather conditions are possible before rain
and the cold front approach. Dry and breezy conditions are also
possible across parts of southwest CO and eastern UT, but fuels here
are not receptive. See prior discussion.

..Lyons.. 09/16/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024/

...Synopsis...
Strong deep-layer south-southwesterly flow preceding an amplified
large-scale trough over the West will impinge on the central High
Plains during the day. Here, a tightening pressure gradient along a
pronounced lee trough, and boundary-layer mixing into the strong
flow aloft, will favor 20-25 mph sustained southerly surface winds
(with higher gusts). These winds should overlap 20-25 percent RH for
a few hours, before a cold front and related precipitation
overspread the area from the west during the evening. Given
receptive fuels across the area, elevated fire-weather conditions
are expected during the afternoon (prior to the arrival of
precipitation).

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$