903
FXUS62 KFFC 280612
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
212 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024



...New 06Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Tuesday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The main line of thunderstorms has moved out of the area, leaving a
boundary stretching from Heard County over through Bibb County. A
couple storms continue to move along this boundary, occasionally
spinning up as they ingests vorticity and MUCAPE of around 2000
J/Kg. This storm is likely to remain at or near severe levels
through the next few hours.

A few storms are possible north of the boundary this afternoon as
the larger mid level trough and sfc cold front pushed through. These
storms will be isolated in nature although a storm becoming strong
cannot be ruled out. Storms along and south of the boundary will be
more scattered in nature. These southern storms also have a greater
potential to become strong to even severe given the atmosphere has
not quite been worked over just yet.

With current cloud coverage, temperatures continue to
most models. CAMs overall struggled with this system, however the
HRRR seems to be doing the best of all of them.

The good news is that once this system moves through, conditions
clear and dry out. Winds will be light but noticeable tomorrow and
highs will reach back into the mid-80s.

SM

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday morning through next Sunday)
Issued at 246 PM EDT Mon May 27 2024

With active weather ongoing across portions of the forecast area,
only minor adjustments have been made to the extended forecast based
on the latest guidance. The previous discussion follows...

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 328 AM EDT Mon May 27 2024

The extended forecast starts off dry as high
pressure slowly builds in from the northern plains and western
great lake states. With this ridge and drier airmass will come
slightly cooler temps for the middle to the end of the week. Temps
Wed through Fri will see highs mainly in the lower to middle 80s.
Moisture begins to creep back in for the weekend and could see
precip chances move back in for Sat/Sun.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 201 AM EDT Tue May 28 2024

VFR expected through TAF period. Will need to monitor metro TAF
sites for some morning vsby concerns, but currently expecting this
to remain south where better rainfall occurred. Winds will pick up
through the afternoon at 8-13 kts with some higher gusts around 20
kts from NW before going lighter tonight. SKC expected through
period.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium morning vsby, high all others.

Lusk

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          61  85  59  81 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         65  84  62  81 /   0  10  10  10
Blairsville     54  76  52  75 /   0   0   0   0
Cartersville    59  83  57  80 /   0  10   0  10
Columbus        66  88  65  84 /   0  10  10  10
Gainesville     61  83  59  80 /   0   0   0  10
Macon           63  88  64  83 /   0   0   0  10
Rome            60  83  57  82 /   0  10   0  10
Peachtree City  62  85  61  81 /   0  10  10  10
Vidalia         67  89  67  85 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...Lusk