Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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618 FXUS62 KFFC 062324 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 724 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...New 00Z Aviation Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Friday) Issued at 231 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 At a glance: -Humid and overcast today. -A cold front during the overnight hours should turn the humidity dial down tomorrow. If you haven`t been outside today, it`s gross. It`s only noon and dewpoints have climbed into the 70s. A weak line of showers and thunderstorms is hanging around parts of western GA and the metro area. This is expected to die off with another round of convection possible this afternoon as the front continues to make progress through the state. Mostly along and south of I-85. A few storms could produce gusty to damaging winds, but the overall severe threat remains low given. Tomorrow looks significantly nicer. Behind the front, temps will climb into the mid 80s and low 90s but minimum RH values are expected to fall into the mid to upper 30s giving us a welcome break from the humidity and keeping a lid on any thunderstorm activity. Vaughn && .LONG TERM... (Saturday morning through next Wednesday) Issued at 231 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 Saturday, the (relatively) cooler and drier continental airmass will have overspread the forecast area. Despite high temperatures in the mid 80s to low 90s, dewpoints in the 50s areawide will make the airmass feel less oppressive than what is typical for early June. As broad and deep troughing becomes the prevailing weather pattern over the eastern CONUS, several disturbances within the base of the broad trough will signal the end of our benign weather pattern. Sunday, as a frontal boundary sags southward, the shower and thunderstorm chances begin to increase across north Georgia. This front will slowly progress southward through Monday before stalling out somewhere across north Florida by Tuesday. As a result, daily rain and thunderstorm chances are forecast areawide each day through the end of the period. While SBCAPE will be running between 1000-2000 J/kg and deep layer shear will be in place from Sunday through midweek, a few storms could become strong. At this time, no significant severe weather or flooding impacts are in play throughout the long term forecast period, but a few isolated strong storms could become severe producing gusty winds and frequent lightning. Strong storms could also produce instances of locally heavy rainfall, especially with PWATs running between 1.5-2.0"+ in the moisture rich airmass. Sunday will be the warmest day of the period with highs in the low 80s to mid 90s. Daytime highs will then trend cooler each day after Sunday, moderating back into the 80s by midweek. KAL && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 719 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR conditions expected through the forecast at all forecast points. W sfc winds will diminish after 01Z and become WNW 8-14 G18-22 kts after 15Z Friday. //ATL Confidence...00Z Update... High confidence on all elements. SNELSON && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 67 88 59 88 / 10 0 0 0 Atlanta 69 86 63 88 / 10 0 0 0 Blairsville 60 79 53 81 / 10 0 0 0 Cartersville 65 85 56 88 / 10 0 0 0 Columbus 70 92 64 91 / 20 0 0 0 Gainesville 67 84 60 86 / 10 0 0 0 Macon 68 92 59 91 / 20 0 0 0 Rome 65 86 57 89 / 0 0 0 0 Peachtree City 67 88 57 89 / 10 0 0 0 Vidalia 73 94 66 92 / 30 10 0 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...SNELSON LONG TERM....KAL AVIATION...SNELSON