Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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618
FXUS62 KFFC 062324
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
724 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024



...New 00Z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 231 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

At a glance:

-Humid and overcast today.

-A cold front during the overnight hours should turn the humidity
dial down tomorrow.

If you haven`t been outside today, it`s gross. It`s only noon and
dewpoints have climbed into the 70s. A weak line of showers and
thunderstorms is hanging around parts of western GA and the metro
area. This is expected to die off with another round of convection
possible this afternoon as the front continues to make progress
through the state. Mostly along and south of I-85.  A few storms
could produce gusty to damaging winds, but the overall severe threat
remains low given.

Tomorrow looks significantly nicer. Behind the front, temps will
climb into the mid 80s and low 90s but minimum RH values are
expected to fall into the mid to upper 30s giving us a welcome break
from the humidity and keeping a lid on any thunderstorm activity.

Vaughn

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 231 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

Saturday, the (relatively) cooler and drier continental airmass
will have overspread the forecast area. Despite high temperatures in
the mid 80s to low 90s, dewpoints in the 50s areawide will make the
airmass feel less oppressive than what is typical for early June. As
broad and deep troughing becomes the prevailing weather pattern over
the eastern CONUS, several disturbances within the base of the broad
trough will signal the end of our benign weather pattern. Sunday, as
a frontal boundary sags southward, the shower and thunderstorm
chances begin to increase across north Georgia. This front will
slowly progress southward through Monday before stalling out
somewhere across north Florida by Tuesday. As a result, daily rain
and thunderstorm chances are forecast areawide each day through the
end of the period. While SBCAPE will be running between 1000-2000
J/kg and deep layer shear will be in place from Sunday through
midweek, a few storms could become strong. At this time, no
significant severe weather or flooding impacts are in play
throughout the long term forecast period, but a few isolated
strong storms could become severe producing gusty winds and
frequent lightning. Strong storms could also produce instances of
locally heavy rainfall, especially with PWATs running between
1.5-2.0"+ in the moisture rich airmass. Sunday will be the warmest
day of the period with highs in the low 80s to mid 90s. Daytime
highs will then trend cooler each day after Sunday, moderating
back into the 80s by midweek.

KAL

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 719 PM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024

VFR conditions expected through the forecast at all forecast
points. W sfc winds will diminish after 01Z and become WNW
8-14 G18-22 kts after 15Z Friday.

//ATL Confidence...00Z Update...
High confidence on all elements.

SNELSON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          67  88  59  88 /  10   0   0   0
Atlanta         69  86  63  88 /  10   0   0   0
Blairsville     60  79  53  81 /  10   0   0   0
Cartersville    65  85  56  88 /  10   0   0   0
Columbus        70  92  64  91 /  20   0   0   0
Gainesville     67  84  60  86 /  10   0   0   0
Macon           68  92  59  91 /  20   0   0   0
Rome            65  86  57  89 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  67  88  57  89 /  10   0   0   0
Vidalia         73  94  66  92 /  30  10   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....KAL
AVIATION...SNELSON