Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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879 FXUS65 KFGZ 301018 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 318 AM MST Thu May 30 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Dry, warm conditions along with reoccurring afternoon breezes out of the west to southwest each day into next week. This weekend will see slightly stronger gusts compared to today and Friday. Regardless, the uptick in wind will have minimal impacts. && .DISCUSSION...Zonal flow has set-up for today and will persist through most of Friday. Winds are going to remain SW-W during the day, though gusts will drop today compared to yesterday. Expecting temperatures to moderate today and tomorrow. CAMs are hinting at isolated showers along the higher terrain today and slightly more for tomorrow. However, dry air in place should all but prevent this from occurring/making it to the surface. Going into the weekend, another trough will pass us by to the north. Overall impacts will be limited as it will be too far north for any real influence outside of bumping our afternoon gusts up slighty, around 20-30 mph. High temperatures will take a slight hit...but only by roughly 2-4 degrees. Following the trough this weekend, ridging returns for at least the first half of next work week. During this time, temperatures are going to moderate. Triple digits are on the board for the lower elevations by Wednesday and even much of the higher elevations will start to break into the 80s. Still monitoring the signal from models of precipitation chances by the end of next week when low pressure sets up on the coast near southern California and works with flow around the ridge to usher moisture into the region. && .AVIATION...Thursday 30/12Z through Friday 31/12Z...VFR conditions. Daytime winds SW/W 5-10 kts gusting 15-20 kts, otherwise light and variable. OUTLOOK...Friday 31/12Z through Sunday 02/12Z...VFR conditions. Winds SW/W 5-10 kts gusting 15-20 kts, becoming SW 10-15 kts with gusts 20-25 kts on Saturday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Friday...Dry and warm conditions, with southwest winds at 5-15 mph each afternoon. Afternoon minimum RH values 5-15% with overnight recoveries of 25-45%. Saturday through Monday...Warm and dry weather continues. Southwest winds 10-15 mph, with gusts to 25 mph expected. Afternoon minimum RH values 5-15% with overnight recovery 20-40%. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...RKR AVIATION...Humphreys FIRE WEATHER...Humphreys For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff