Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX
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988 FXUS64 KFWD 061732 AFDFWD Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 1232 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...New Short Term, Aviation... .SHORT TERM... /NEW/ /Through Friday/ Quiet weather will close out the work week as a mid-level ridge gradually builds over the region. Warm afternoon temperatures and mostly sunny skies are expected both today and Friday. There is a very low (10%) chance that an isolated shower or storm will skirt our northwestern zones this evening. Otherwise, rain chances will remain near zero over the next couple of days. High temperatures will be in the 90s both days, but slightly lower humidity than we`ve seen recently will keep heat index values near actual temperatures. Barnes && .LONG TERM... /Issued 321 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024/ /This Weekend and Next Week/ Mid-level ridging will dominate the pattern this weekend, allowing for hot and mainly rain-free conditions to prevail. Saturday should be the warmest day with most of the area climbing to the mid 90s. Although a stiff southerly breeze will provide some relief from the heat, dew points in the low 70s will result in heat index values in the 100-105 range. A weakness in the ridge, digging shortwave trough, and a weak cold front moving into the area will open the door for a short- lived period of more active weather late this weekend into early next week. Northwest flow aloft should return by Sunday and open the door for additional overnight/early morning MCSs to move into the area, mainly Sunday and Monday nights. The ensemble mean guidance is indicating a resurgence of mid-level ridging over West Texas in the middle to late parts of next week. While most guidance keeps weak northwest flow over North Texas, the dominance of the high to our southwest should nudge the MCS activity further north with only a 10% chance of thunderstorm chances continuing beyond Tuesday morning. Bonnette && .AVIATION... /NEW/ /18Z TAFs/ VFR will prevail through the period. Winds will remain variable out of the east/southeast for the remainder of the afternoon with wind speeds below 10 knots. Winds may briefly shift out of the south between 05-08Z tonight, but wind speeds will be below 5 knots during this time. Southerly winds near 10 knots are expected Friday afternoon. Barnes && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Dallas-Ft. Worth 94 73 94 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 0 Waco 93 70 93 74 94 / 0 0 0 0 0 Paris 92 69 90 71 91 / 0 5 5 0 0 Denton 93 70 94 75 94 / 0 5 5 0 0 McKinney 92 70 93 74 94 / 0 5 5 0 0 Dallas 96 73 94 76 96 / 0 0 0 0 0 Terrell 91 69 92 73 93 / 0 0 0 0 0 Corsicana 93 71 94 74 92 / 0 0 0 0 0 Temple 93 70 94 73 95 / 0 0 0 0 0 Mineral Wells 96 70 96 73 96 / 0 0 0 0 0 && .FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$