842
FXUS63 KGID 142013
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
313 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Showers and non-severe thunderstorms are expected this
  afternoon into this evening across portions of the area.

- Showers and thunderstorms are possible every day and night
  across at least a portion of the area beginning Sunday night.

- The highest chances of showers and storms will be Tuesday
  night (up to around a 65% chance) and Friday night (up to near
  a 60% chance).

- Windy conditions are expected on Tuesday with south to
  southeast winds gusting up to 25 to 35 mph.

- High temperatures will mostly be in the 80s and low
  temperatures will mostly be in the 60s.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 310 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

A broad upper trough extends from over Minnesota southwestward to
over the West Coast. An upper ridge is over the Northeast and much
of the Midwest. Winds are out of the southeast across south central
and central Nebraska and north central Kansas. Showers and
thunderstorms are moving across the area this afternoon but are not
expected to be severe. This activity is expected to dissipate
by/during this evening. High temperatures this afternoon will be in
the lower to mid 80s. Low temperatures tonight will mostly be in the
60s.

The previously mentioned upper trough will deepen and will extend
from the West Coast to the Rocky Mountains on Sunday. Winds across
south central and central Nebraska and north central Kansas will
increase out of the southeast as a surface trough strengthens in the
lee of the Rocky Mountains. Temperatures on Sunday will warm up
slightly from today with highs generally in the mid to upper 80s.
Low temperatures Sunday night will mostly be in the mid 60s. A
shortwave is expected to move over the area Sunday night which will
increase upper lift. This will result in a 15% to near a 25% chance
of showers and thunderstorms Sunday night into Monday. High
temperatures on Monday will mostly be in the lower to mid 80s. Winds
will remain out of the southeast with gusts of 20 to 30 mph during
the afternoon.

Rain and storm chances will continue (up to around 25%) Monday night
into Tuesday as upper lift increases over the area. The upper trough
will begin move over the central Plains on Tuesday. Winds are
expected to increase even more out of the south to southeast on
Tuesday with gusts of 25 to 35 during the afternoon. High
temperatures on Tuesday will again be in the 80s.

Rain and storm chances will increase up to around 65% Tuesday night
as the upper trough continues to pass over the region. South central
and central Nebraska and north central Kansas are expected to be on
the eastern edge of an upper trough to the west through Friday. This
will allow for continued chances (up to around 50%) of showers and
thunderstorms across at least a portion of the area each day and
night through the end of next week. High temperatures will mostly
remain in the 80s each day through Friday. Some areas across north
central Kansas and far southern Nebraska may experience highs in the
low 90s on Thursday with breezy southerly winds. Low temperatures
will mostly be in the 60s each night through Thursday night. A cold
front may move into the area Friday night into next Saturday which
will result in increased rain and storm chances (up to near 60%) and
cooler temperatures for next Saturday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/...
Issued at 1234 PM CDT Sat Sep 14 2024

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

Winds will be out of the southeast to south with winds
increasing around 15z/16z Sunday. Low ceilings and visibilities
are possible around 09z to 13z but confidence is low.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Schuldt
AVIATION...Schuldt