Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 221940
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
340 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

...Rain Ending Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will move east and rain will be ending tonight.
More rain is expected on Tuesday and Wednesday.

MIZ037>039-043>045-230815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
340 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    1700-2200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-380 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....340-370 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....110-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.13 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.05-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-230815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
340 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 11 PM, then a chance of rain showers
                    until 4 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....250-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.11 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northeast around 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....340-350 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.08 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........66-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.28 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-230815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
340 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 5 AM, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 9 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance of rain
                    showers after 9 PM until 1 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......22 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....290-350 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-320 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....60-70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.06-0.17 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 2 PM. Chance of rain showers after
                    2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.08-0.44 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-230815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
340 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely until 10 PM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 2 AM. Chance of rain
                    showers after 10 PM until 4 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.21 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-360 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 PM, then rain showers likely.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........70-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.13-0.37 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-230815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
340 PM EDT Sun Sep 22 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 10 PM. Chance of thunderstorms until 4
                    AM. Chance of rain showers after 10 PM until 3
                    AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph increasing to north around 15
                    mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....120-210 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.24 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....230-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 AM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....50-110 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
                    likely. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........68-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....170-200 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.59 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and a slight
chance of thunderstorms in the evening. Lows in the mid 50s. North
winds 5 to 8 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds up to 5 mph in the evening becoming light.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Northeast
winds 5 to 9 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
70s.

$$