Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
749 FXUS64 KHUN 062248 AFDHUN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Huntsville AL 548 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 ...New AVIATION... .NEAR TERM... (Tonight) Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 By this evening, a clear sky will be in place as drier air begins overspreading the TN valley. Dew points have dipped into the lower to middle 60s in north central and northwest TN. A cold front in southern IL and MO will arrive later tonight, shifting the wind to the northwest. However, wind speed will remain light, so will not rule out patchy fog despite a frontal passage. Morning lows will be in the lower to middle 60s. && .SHORT TERM... (Friday through Saturday night) Issued at 129 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 High pressure will settle into the TN valley late Friday into Friday night. High temperatures will reach the lower 80s for most areas, with noticeably lower humidity. The drier and cooler air will result in Saturday morning lows in the upper 50s to around 60. 5h flow will become west-northwest from the central Plains into the OH valley on Saturday, which brings a fast moving shortwave and MCS through the lower MO valley into the OH valley Saturday into Saturday night. This is followed by additional MCS development in KS and southern MO which may spill into TN and perhaps far north AL by early Sunday morning. For now, have kept low chances after midnight Sunday morning. && .LONG TERM... (Sunday through Wednesday) Issued at 359 AM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 The afore-mentioned cold front will probably move southward through the TN Valley, and perhaps even farther into the Southeast and Gulf Coastal Plain region early next week. This solution is supported generally by the latest 00Z operational guidance suite. However, some of the global ensemble suite is not supportive of this solution and tend to indicate the front may have slower movement through the region, perhaps stalling in the vicinity of the TN Valley. So, slight chance POPs were retained for the period from Monday through Wed next week to account for this uncertainty. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 548 PM CDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR conditions are forecast to continue at KMSL and KHSV. A low chance of fog exists overnight, however, confidence in this affecting the terminals is not high enough to include this in the official TAF package at this time. && .HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AL...None. TN...None. && $$ NEAR TERM...17 SHORT TERM....17 LONG TERM....KDW AVIATION...HC