Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
254 FNUS52 KILM 230707 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... High pressure to generally prevail through mid week, especially near the coast. More unsettled weather should return late week as we see at least some fringe effects from low pressure tracking northward from the Gulf of Mexico. Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-232315- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 86 67 84 Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 71 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var SE 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.03 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 71/0900 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3500 Transport Wind (mph) E 8 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 28000 45500 ADI Early 22 Fair 16 Gen Poor 35 Fair ADI Late 28 Fair 5 Very Poor 45 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 5 8 Max LVORI Late 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B F B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 96 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-232315- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 40 Precip Type None Showers Tstms LAL 2 2 3 Max/Min Temp 86 67 85 Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 69 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.02 0.10 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 70/0900 1900 76/1000 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3500 3700 Transport Wind (mph) SE 7 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 24500 48100 ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 22 Fair 35 Fair ADI Late 29 Fair 5 Very Poor 53 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 8 3 Min VSBY Early 3 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-232315- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 Precip Type None None Tstms LAL 1 1 3 Max/Min Temp 86 70 86 Min/Max RH (%) 59 100 67 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 6 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/1000 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3700 Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 29600 48100 ADI Early 20 Gen Poor 27 Fair 36 Fair ADI Late 33 Fair 5 Very Poor 49 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 4 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 83 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-232315- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 307 AM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Today Tonight Tue Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 20 30 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms LAL 3 3 3 Max/Min Temp 89 69 89 Min/Max RH (%) 52 100 62 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Precip Amount 0.00 0.03 0.11 Precip Duration 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/1000 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Haines Index 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4400 Transport Wind (mph) SE 8 S 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 35200 57200 ADI Early 19 Gen Poor 30 Fair 45 Gen Good ADI Late 39 Fair 5 Very Poor 59 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 3 9 3 Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7 Min VSBY Late 7 7 7 Turner Stability B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 98 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 81 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...21