Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
Issued by NWS Wilmington, OH
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238 FXUS61 KILN 151723 AFDILN AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 123 PM EDT Sun Sep 15 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Persistent high pressure will keep dry and warm conditions across the region through early next week. Low pressure approaching from the east will offer the next threat for rain by the middle of next week. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... With plenty of dry air in place, sunny skies will continue through the day. Forecast temperatures look reasonable. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM MONDAY/... Expansive high pressure stretching from the Great Lakes thru New England to continue to influence our weather tonight into Monday. In the dry airmass temperatures to drop to lows from 55 to 60. A few high level clouds look to spill in from the east on Monday. Warm highs to top out in the mid and upper 80s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/... High pressure centered to the northeast is expected to keep dry weather across the Ohio Valley on Monday night. Latest models, particularly the NAM, show low pressure tracking from the Carolinas to Virginia on Tuesday through Thursday, bring increasing moisture and a threat for showers primarily across eastern portions of the FA. This system will bear watching since it may take on tropical characteristics. Dry weather is forecast to return with high pressure on Friday and Saturday. Temperatures at he start will be somewhat cooler than recent days due to clouds and possible precip, with highs in the upper 70s and low 80s Tuesday and Wednesday. The return of sunshine will allow highs well into the 80s by Saturday. && .AVIATION /17Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... VFR will continue. There may be a few cumulus late in the period, otherwise clear skies. Winds will remain easterly around 10 kt during the day and closer to 5 kt at night. OUTLOOK...No significant weather expected. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...AR NEAR TERM... SHORT TERM...AR LONG TERM...Coniglio AVIATION...