Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
Issued by NWS Northern Indiana
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438 FXUS63 KIWX 060421 AFDIWX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Northern Indiana 1221 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Less humid and mainly dry conditions are expected through this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 210 PM EDT Wed Jun 5 2024 A pre-frontal trough is still bringing showers and thunderstorms to the region this afternoon, with the strongest storms now moving into northwest Ohio. These storms should move east of the forecast area by around 3 pm ET. Another line of convection is developing along the cold front in eastern Illinois. However, due to the morning activity, MUCAPE has now dropped below 1000 J/kg across most of northern Indiana. It may still increase some as the front moves in and we get some breaks in the cloud cover allowing temperatures to rebound a bit. Dewpoints are still well into the 60s, but surface temperatures have fallen into the upper 60s to low 70s. Therefore, any additional storms that move into the area are likely to be sub-severe, with heavy rain being the biggest threats. Another shortwave will then rotate around the upper low that is centered in south-central Canada later this evening and overnight, with a low chance for showers and thunderstorms, mainly in Michigan. Cooler and drier conditions are in store for Thursday and Friday and the wake of today`s front. Friday`s highs will only be in the mid 60s to low 70s. The next chance for showers and thunderstorms will be Saturday as a weather disturbance drops down from the northwest. Light showers then remain possible through Sunday. High pressure builds in on Monday and Tuesday, with temperatures warming back to near 80 on Tuesday. && .AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 1220 AM EDT Thu Jun 6 2024 VFR through the period. A secondary front will drop through northern IN early this morning with an increase in mid clouds and perhaps a stray sprinkle/shower. Post-frontal wnw winds pick up otherwise late morning into Thursday afternoon with frequent gusts to near 25 knots anticipated. && .IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... IN...None. OH...None. MI...Beach Hazards Statement from 11 AM EDT this morning through Friday afternoon for MIZ177-277. MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 2 PM EDT Friday for LMZ043. Small Craft Advisory from 11 AM this morning to 8 AM EDT Friday for LMZ046. && $$ DISCUSSION...Cobb AVIATION...Steinwedel