Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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056
ACUS11 KWNS 122318
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122317
IAZ000-NEZ000-130145-

Mesoscale Discussion 1242
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0617 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Areas affected...far eastern Nebraska into western Iowa

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely

Valid 122317Z - 130145Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

SUMMARY...Isolated cells may produce locally damaging gusts and
hail.

DISCUSSION...Strong heating has led to an uncapped air mass near a
surface trough extending from eastern NE into northwest KS. Visible
imagery and radar indicate storms beginning to form near SUX, with
additional towering Cu into NE along the boundary.

Convergence near this boundary and the uncapped air mass where mid
90s F have been achieved may support isolated severe storms over the
next 1-2 hours. This threat is likely to be short lived as capping
eventually returns, however, moderate mid to high level
northwesterlies will favor southeastward-moving cells capable of
hail, and strong gusts cannot be ruled out given the hot and
well-mixed boundary layer.

..Jewell/Smith.. 06/12/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...OAX...

LAT...LON   40839691 41369688 41839685 42089671 42349646 42359624
            41969573 41449554 40989559 40649570 40429604 40369670
            40539680 40839691