Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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912 ACUS11 KWNS 122331 SWOMCD SPC MCD 122331 WIZ000-MNZ000-130030- Mesoscale Discussion 1243 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0631 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024 Areas affected...Portions of central and eastern Minnesota Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405... Valid 122331Z - 130030Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 405 continues. SUMMARY...A localized tornado threat is evolving over portions of central/eastern Minnesota. The area is being considered for a small tornado watch. DISCUSSION...Following several splitting supercells along a surface trough/wind shift over central/eastern MN, latest radar data shows dominant right-moving thunderstorms taking shape. This evolution is being aided by an increasingly large, clockwise-turning low-level hodograph (around 300 m2/s2 0-1 km SRH per MPX VWP). Given this hodograph and favorable low-level moisture in place downstream of the intensifying storms, a localized tornado risk is possible for the next couple hours. The area is being considered for a small tornado watch. ..Weinman/Smith.. 06/12/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX... LAT...LON 46649407 47079295 47049249 46719207 46149253 45439387 45389472 45499529 45859514 46649407