Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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ACUS11 KWNS 222224
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222224
NYZ000-230000-
Mesoscale Discussion 0900
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0524 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024
Areas affected...Portions of north-central New York and the western
Adirondack Mountains
Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely
Valid 222224Z - 230000Z
Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent
SUMMARY...A few locally damaging wind gusts will be possible through
sunset across the western Adirondack Mountains.
DISCUSSION...A small cluster of generally decaying thunderstorms
continues to progress northeastward across north-central NY this
evening. These storms are moving into an environment currently
characterized by marginal instability and weak deep layer shear.
However, steep low-level lapse rates/moderate downdraft CAPE
downstream will continue support some potential for severe damaging
wind gusts, especially with merging thunderstorms. This potential
will be limited in duration, though, as stabilization increases
towards sunset. A watch is not likely at this time.
..Barnes.. 05/22/2024
...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...
ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...
LAT...LON 43347490 43507508 43847511 44117516 44307556 44437575
44657535 44667501 44537475 44337442 44077422 43787404
43487410 43287459 43347490