843
FXUS64 KMEG 160805
AFDMEG

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
305 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

...New SYNOPSIS, DISCUSSION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 305 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

Showers will continue across north Mississippi today before dry
conditions return area wide this evening. Fog will possible each
night through the forecast period. Daily highs will be in the 80s
and morning lows in the upper 50s and 60s as high pressure reigns.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Sunday)
Issued at 305 AM CDT Mon Sep 16 2024

The weak upper low of what was once Francine will finally exit the
Mid-South later this afternoon. The remaining moisture field from
Francine will interact with an inverted shortwave from east
Tennessee and will keep showers across north Mississippi through
early evening. The lack of instability once again today will keep
thunder out of the forecast. A half an inch may picked up across
this area before showers come to an end.

Clear skies, light winds, and a saturated surface supports fog
development each night through the forecast package. A pleasant
week is in store with sunny skies and highs in the 80s. Upper
level ridging will build in starting tomorrow as a blocking
pattern sets up. The Mid-South will be sandwiched between
Tropical System 8 and a deep low over the northern Rockies, but be
dominated by the northern ridge. Due to the placement of the
ridge, northerly flow is expected to keep days comfortable and
nights crisp with lows in the upper 50s and 60s.

DNM

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 PM CDT Sun Sep 15 2024

Showers and BR will continue to impact all terminals as an upper
low continues to churn over the Mid-South through around sunrise.
MVFR ceilings will impact MEM/JBR through this same period.
Conditions are then expected to begin lifting to VFR as showers
exit the Mid-South. Northeast winds will remain up to 10 kts
through around sunset as they decrease to around 3-5 kts.

AEH

&&

.MEG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
MO...None.
MS...None.
TN...None.
&&

$$

PUBLIC FORECAST...DNM
AVIATION...AEH