Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
590 FXUS63 KMKX 090835 AFDMKX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Breezy west to northwest winds today, with a Small Craft Advisory in effect for the nearshore waters of Lake Michigan - Occasional small chances for showers and storms Tuesday through the remainder of the week - Warmer temperatures likely mid to late week && .SHORT TERM... Issued 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024 Today through Monday: Broad cyclonic flow will linger across the region today and Monday, with high temperatures remaining a bit below normal. Additionally, a weak shortwave will drop through the area today, bringing mostly cloudy conditions to much of southern Wisconsin by the afternoon hours. Wouldn`t be surprised to see a few sprinkles this afternoon, but in general, it doesn`t look like there will be enough moisture for rain showers today. Breezy west to northwest winds are also expected today. Temperatures should crack the low 70s most places today, with somewhat cooler conditions Monday behind the shortwave. It will be even cooler near the lake tomorrow, as winds will turn onshore by the afternoon hours. DDV && .LONG TERM... Issued 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024 Tuesday through Saturday: There remains a fair amount of uncertainty for the extended period of the forecast, particulary with precipitation chances. It does appear that the upper level flow will turn more zonal by mid-week, with upper level ridging likely building in this weekend. This will allow temperatures to warm back up to at least normal, if not above normal by the end of the week into the weekend. Models continue to suggest a chance for showers and storms at times, as shortwaves move through the area. Agreement among models with timing/strength/placement of these waves remains on the lower end. Model ensemble data is similarly muddy, with model QPF spread out throughout mid-week into the weekend. Kept the occasional lower end NBM precip chances in the forecast, with not enough confidence yet to raise the chances any particularly day. DDV && .AVIATION... Issued 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024 Could see some localized fog early this morning, but most places should remain VFR under mostly clear skies. Clouds will increase from north to south later this morning into the afternoon as a shortwave drops through the area. Ceilings may drop to MVFR for a brief period later this afternoon into early evening. Breezy west to northwest winds are expected today, particularly late morning through late afternoon. Clouds will gradually clear out from north to south later this evening into tonight behind the departing shortwave. DDV && .MARINE... Issued 335 AM CDT Sun Jun 9 2024 Breezy westerly winds today will veer to the north through the day as a trough moves through the area. These winds will be due to a tighter pressure gradient between high pressure centered just north of the Northern Plains and low pressure centered just east of James Bay in Canada. A Small Craft Advisory is in effect from mid-morning into early evening. Northerly winds will remain breezy on Monday between these two systems, as they slowly shift eastward. Lighter winds are then likely Monday night into Tuesday as the high moves through the area, with southerly winds picking up later Tuesday into Wednesday on the back side of the departing high. DDV && .MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... WI...None. LM...Small Craft Advisory...LMZ643-LMZ644-LMZ645-LMZ646...10 AM Sunday to 7 PM Sunday. && $$ Visit us at weather.gov/milwaukee Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube at: www.facebook.com/NWSMilwaukee www.twitter.com/NWSMilwaukee www.youtube.com/NWSMilwaukee