Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
093 FXUS62 KMLB 250526 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 126 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 121 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024 VFR conditions prevailing overnight, with light winds. Initially southwesterly winds early in the morning will veer E/SE by mid to late morning along the coast, as the sea breeze develops and moves inland. Expect to see the sea breeze reach inland terminals (MCO) by around 18-21Z. The sea breeze is not forecast to make it as far inland as LEE. Showers will develop along the sea breeze at the coast after around 17-18Z, becoming VCTS by 20Z. The highest confidence for seeing VIS/CIG reductions due to convection will be from MLB southward along the coast from 22-02Z. Otherwise, just a VCSH/VCTS mention for other terminals. After sunset, winds will veer southerly, then progressively southwesterly overnight. && .UPDATE... Issued at 1000 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Sea breeze collision occurred around 8 pm from Lake George to the Four Corners. Isolated showers developed along this boundary collision to our north and south but only an increase in clouds occurred over Lake/western Orange/NW Osceola. Evening sounding from the Cape continues to show a capping inversion at about 8k ft so this will prevent deep convection (thunder). A quiet and mild overnight is forecast. The sea breeze circulation will continue to dissipate with loss of daytime heating and the prevailing wind flow will become light south to southwest. && .MARINE... Issued at 308 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Rest of Today-Saturday...Weak high pressure extending across Florida from the western Atlantic slides southeast, continuing hot but otherwise favorable boating conditions. Onshore winds around 10 kts from the sea breeze ease to 5-10 kts and veer through the night, becoming WSW-SW early Saturday morning, then turning onshore around 10 kts again Saturday afternoon with the sea breeze. Seas 2-3 ft. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning storms are forecast to push offshore Saturday evening and continue eastward across the local Atlantic waters through the early overnight. Sun-Tue (Modified Previous Discussion)...Continued favorable boating conditions, though it will be increasingly hot and any shower/lightning storm chances will only be ISOLD to WDLY SCT - most likely across the Gulf Stream. Winds again become onshore each late morning and afternoon with daily sea breeze regime (10-15 kts along the coast), but will veer a light offshore component or become light/variable each overnight period. Seas mostly AOB 3 ft. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 92 71 93 72 / 20 10 10 0 MCO 95 72 97 73 / 30 10 20 0 MLB 90 73 90 74 / 30 20 20 10 VRB 91 71 92 73 / 40 20 20 10 LEE 94 73 95 74 / 20 10 10 0 SFB 95 72 95 74 / 30 10 10 0 ORL 95 73 96 75 / 30 10 20 0 FPR 92 71 93 72 / 40 20 20 10 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Kelly AVIATION...Leahy