093
FXUS62 KMLB 250526
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
126 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFs)
Issued at 121 AM EDT Sat May 25 2024

VFR conditions prevailing overnight, with light winds. Initially
southwesterly winds early in the morning will veer E/SE by mid to
late morning along the coast, as the sea breeze develops and
moves inland. Expect to see the sea breeze reach inland terminals
(MCO) by around 18-21Z. The sea breeze is not forecast to make it
as far inland as LEE. Showers will develop along the sea breeze at
the coast after around 17-18Z, becoming VCTS by 20Z. The highest
confidence for seeing VIS/CIG reductions due to convection will be
from MLB southward along the coast from 22-02Z. Otherwise, just a
VCSH/VCTS mention for other terminals. After sunset, winds will
veer southerly, then progressively southwesterly overnight.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1000 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

Sea breeze collision occurred around 8 pm from Lake George to the
Four Corners. Isolated showers developed along this boundary
collision to our north and south but only an increase in clouds
occurred over Lake/western Orange/NW Osceola. Evening sounding
from the Cape continues to show a capping inversion at about 8k
ft so this will prevent deep convection (thunder). A quiet and
mild overnight is forecast. The sea breeze circulation will
continue to dissipate with loss of daytime heating and the
prevailing wind flow will become light south to southwest.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 308 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

Rest of Today-Saturday...Weak high pressure extending across
Florida from the western Atlantic slides southeast, continuing hot
but otherwise favorable boating conditions. Onshore winds around
10 kts from the sea breeze ease to 5-10 kts and veer through the
night, becoming WSW-SW early Saturday morning, then turning
onshore around 10 kts again Saturday afternoon with the sea
breeze. Seas 2-3 ft. Isolated to scattered showers and lightning
storms are forecast to push offshore Saturday evening and continue
eastward across the local Atlantic waters through the early
overnight.

Sun-Tue (Modified Previous Discussion)...Continued favorable
boating conditions, though it will be increasingly hot and any
shower/lightning storm chances will only be ISOLD to WDLY SCT -
most likely across the Gulf Stream. Winds again become onshore
each late morning and afternoon with daily sea breeze regime
(10-15 kts along the coast), but will veer a light offshore
component or become light/variable each overnight period. Seas
mostly AOB 3 ft.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  92  71  93  72 /  20  10  10   0
MCO  95  72  97  73 /  30  10  20   0
MLB  90  73  90  74 /  30  20  20  10
VRB  91  71  92  73 /  40  20  20  10
LEE  94  73  95  74 /  20  10  10   0
SFB  95  72  95  74 /  30  10  10   0
ORL  95  73  96  75 /  30  10  20   0
FPR  92  71  93  72 /  40  20  20  10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Kelly
AVIATION...Leahy