167
FXUS64 KOHX 180542
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1242 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

A hot, humid air mass has settled over Middle Tennessee, and our
current weather pattern will continue throughout the 7-day
forecastperiod. High pressure centered to our east is keeping a
southerly flow over the region, hence the persistent heat and
mugginess. A swath of gulf-moisture has been responsible for
scattered convection along the Tennessee River during the past
several hours. It appears that this moisture band will drift
westward today and tonight, with lessening POPs across the mid
state on Tuesday, and dry conditions for the bulk of the mid state
from Wednesday onward.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday Night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Rain and storm chances won`t return to Middle Tennessee until
Sunday and into early next week as a surface boundary rides down a
northwest flow aloft. It is also possible that we could see some
tropical effects later next week coming up from the Gulf of
Mexico, but this is a long way off. It`s rare to see tropical
effects in Middle Tennessee this early in the season, so we won`t
hype this up too much. Temperatures for the next 7 days will
consistently top out in the mid to upper 90s across much of the
region, and there is no relief from the heat forthcoming anytime
soon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1224 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024

A Bermuda-type high pressure center is set up to our east, both at
the surface and aloft, and this will keep VFR wx locked in over
Middle Tennessee for the foreseeable future. A band of moisture
being advected northward from the Gulf of Mexico has been
producing convection along the Tennessee River, but this moisture
looks to shift farther eastward on Tuesday, with only low POPs
mainly west of I-65. Have not included any convection in the TAFs.
Winds will be light/calm through most of the forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      93  73  91  71 /  10   0   0   0
Clarksville    90  72  90  69 /  20  10   0   0
Crossville     85  65  85  64 /  10   0   0   0
Columbia       92  71  91  68 /  10   0   0   0
Cookeville     88  69  87  67 /  20   0   0   0
Jamestown      87  67  86  66 /  20   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   90  72  89  67 /  10   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   93  72  91  68 /  10   0   0   0
Waverly        90  72  89  69 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Rose
LONG TERM....Rose
AVIATION.....Rose