868
FXUS64 KOHX 150130
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
830 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 815 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Not much to say here. Max temperatures peaked this afternoon in
the 90s. BNA topped out at 96 degrees, just shy of the daily
record of 97 degrees from 2022. Tomorrow looks the same with dry
weather and hot temperatures. Remember those heat safety tips
this weekend as hottest temperatures are still expected on Sunday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

Did you feel it? This morning`s frontal boundary ripped through here
pretty quick and changed...nothing. Southern KY saw a quick shower,
but as fast as they appeared on radar, they were gone. In its wake,
mostly clear skies continue across the mid-state and there was so
little affect from it, dew points are still in the 60s. That means
warm and humid will be the story again today. If we see any affect,
it could be a degree or two cooler tomorrow. That`s about it.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1059 AM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

High pressure aloft is still expected to make its presence felt by
Sunday. Afternoon highs should be the warmest of the week, with many
spots reaching into the upper 90s. Dew points will remain in the mid
to upper 60s, so expect Heat Index values to reach triple digits,
especially west of the Cumberland Plateau. If you have outdoor plans
on Sunday, have somewhere you can get into the shade and cool off.
I`m still thinking the ridge aloft should stymie any thunderstorm
chances on Sunday, which means Monday will be Middle TN`s best shot
at getting some rain in this forecast package. Unfortunately, it`s
still not a great shot. Will maintain a 20-30% chance, however, if
you get a storm on Monday afternoon, expect brief heavy rainfall,
lots of lightning and even the potential for some gusty winds.

By Tuesday, expect the start of another extended stretch of dry days
across the mid-state. Temperatures should remain very summerish,
with afternoon highs in the low to mid 90s with nothing too extreme
on the horizon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Fri Jun 14 2024

BNA/CKV/MQY...VFR will continue through the taf period. Very
light north winds tonight will become north northeast 5-8KT after
15Z.

CSV/SRB...VFR with light winds will occur through 06Z. Patches of
fog will impact vsbys later in the night, mainly in the 2 to 4
mile range. Daytime Saturday will bring nice VFR wx with NNE winds
around 6KT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      72  94  69  98 /   0   0   0  10
Clarksville    68  91  66  96 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     64  87  64  90 /   0   0   0  10
Columbia       69  95  69  98 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     67  88  68  93 /   0   0   0  10
Jamestown      64  87  63  91 /   0   0   0  10
Lawrenceburg   69  94  69  97 /   0   0   0  10
Murfreesboro   69  94  69  99 /   0   0   0  10
Waverly        69  93  69  97 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

UPDATE.......Cravens
SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....13