Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
Issued by NWS Pago Pago
409 FXZS60 NSTU 090105 AFDPPG Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Pago Pago AS 205 PM SST Sat Jun 8 2024 .Short term... Latest satellite data shows a dry and stable airmass dominating in the area due to a strong ridge from the south. This feature continues to produce breezy trade winds, and short-lived showers with any moisture that moves in the area. However, as dry air from the south persists through Tuesday, expect Isolated showers for this duration. .Long term... The strength of the aforementioned ridge will finally weaken over the territory Tuesday night as it migrates further east. This pattern will shift winds east, while moisture gradually increases through Thursday. Expect an uptick in showers Thursday night as a boundary develops along the ridge and over the American Samoa chain. Scattered to numerous showers and east winds of 10 to 20 mph will remain through the rest of the forecast period. .Marine... The south swell that brought extremely high surfs and hazardous rip currents this past Wednesday has completely subsided in our area. However, breezy conditions continues to generate rough seas for the territory. A High Surf Advisory and Small Craft Advisory remains in effect as wave heights are slightly above 9 feet via SoFAR Drift Buoy data (threshold being 8 feet for small crafts and 10 feet for high surfs). Expect combined seas to remain in advisory thresholds tonight through Monday before another strong set of swells moves through the area. Models anticipate wave heights reaching warning criteria for surfs with this event. There is a chance for the territory to experience similar impacts that was seen Wednesday. .PPG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... High Surf Advisory Small Craft Advisory && $$ TM