Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ
743 FNUS55 KPSR 231023 FWFPSR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central Arizona and Southeast California National Weather Service Phoenix AZ 323 AM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 .DISCUSSION... Monsoonal moisture will continue to result in daily chances for shower and thunderstorm activity, with the best chances for activity across the higher terrain areas. With the elevated moisture in place, MinRH values through early this week will range between 35-45% across the far eastern districts to between 15-25% across the western districts before slowly drying into the middle to latter half of next week. Winds will follow their typical daily tendencies, with gusty outflows from any thunderstorm activity anticipated over the next several days. Temperatures through the weekend will average near to slightly above normal before increasing some heading into the middle of next week. Chances for wetting rains will generally remain around 15-25% for the higher terrain areas and 5-10% for the lower deserts of southcentral Arizona through tomorrow. ...Thunderstorms imply gusty winds... Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR. AZZ132-232230- West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/ Northwest and North-Central Pinal County- Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ- 323 AM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................100-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................25-30 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming southwest in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 7 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................81-91. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................45-60 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent west portion...10 percent east portion. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................103-109. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................22-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Phoenix.......9100 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots. * Dispersion for Phoenix..........Very good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-92. Highs 106-111. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 82-92. Highs 104-109. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 79-89. Highs 103-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 102-108. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 104-110. $$ AZZ131-CAZ231-232230- Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ- Lower Colorado River Valley CA- 323 AM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 /323 AM PDT Sun Jun 23 2024/ .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................105-110. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-29 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 20 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........5900 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 11 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Good. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................82-87. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................49-66 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the evening becoming southeast 5 to 15 mph after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................107-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................21-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................3 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. * Mixing Height for Yuma..........7200 ft AGL. * Transport Wind for Yuma.........South 10 knots. * Dispersion for Yuma.............Very good. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 108-113. South winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-88. Highs 107-112. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 80-87. Highs 106-111. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 78-83. Highs 106-111. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 79-84. Highs 106-111. $$ AZZ133-232230- Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills- Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/ CAZ- 323 AM MST Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms . * Max Temperature.................88-101. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................26-37 pct. * 24 hr trend..................4 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northeast 5 to 10 mph in the morning becoming west in the afternoon. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................40 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................3. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening. * Min Temperature.................68-81. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................55-71 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Northwest 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................20 percent in the evening becoming 10 percent after midnight. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................2 in the evening becoming 1 after midnight. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................89-104. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................24-35 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable in the morning becoming southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 30 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................10 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 3 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 92-106. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 69-84. Highs 91-106. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-84. Highs 89-103. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 68-82. Highs 89-104. .SATURDAY...Mostly clear with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows 68-83. Highs 92-106. $$ CAZ232-232230- Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County- 323 AM PDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................101-111. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................19-27 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southeast 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................10 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................81-89. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................34-57 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct drier. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............North 5 to 15 mph in the evening becoming light and variable after midnight. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................103-112. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................17-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 83-90. Highs 104-113. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 82-90. Highs 104-114. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 78-88. Highs 103-114. South winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 76-85. Highs 102-112. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 76-87. Highs 102-112. $$ CAZ230-232230- Joshua Tree National Park- 323 AM PDT Sun Jun 23 2024 .TODAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. * Max Temperature.................92-106. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................20-26 pct. * 24 hr trend..................6 pct wetter. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............South 5 to 15 mph in the morning becoming light and variable in the afternoon. * Chance of Precip................0 percent in the morning becoming 10 percent in the afternoon. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1 in the morning becoming 2 in the afternoon. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .TONIGHT... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear. * Min Temperature.................71-84. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Max Humidity....................33-42 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. .MONDAY... * Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. * Max Temperature.................93-107. * 24 hr trend..................Little change. * Min Humidity....................18-25 pct. * 24 hr trend..................Little RH change. * Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph. * Winds...10000 FT MSL............Light and variable. * Chance of Precip................0 percent. * CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent. * LAL.............................1. * Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .EXTENDED... .TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 72-86. Highs 93-108. West winds 5 to 15 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 71-86. Highs 93-109. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 68-85. Highs 93-108. Southwest winds 10 to 20 mph. .FRIDAY...Clear. Lows 66-81. Highs 91-106. .SATURDAY...Clear. Lows 66-82. Highs 92-107. $$ .8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday June 30th through Tuesday July 2nd: Above normal temperatures and precipitation.