588
FNUS75 KPSR 130506
FWSPSR

Spot Forecast for Rose Fire...DFFM
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
1006 PM MST Wed Jun 12 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on June 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MST THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and mostly dry conditions will continue over the next few days,
with a slight chances of showers (5-30%) tomorrow. There is a
5-15% chance of showers between 9am and 5pm, with slightly better
chances (20-30%) arriving from 5pm through midnight. Most
activity may fall as virga, but a few light showers reaching the
ground cannot be ruled out. Some virga showers may produce locally
erratic gusty winds in excess of 35 mph. Outside of any rainfall
activity, gusts 20-25 mph will be common Thursday afternoon and
evening, resulting in locally enhanced fire weather conditions.
MinRH values will range between 5-12%, while poor overnight
recovery expected with MaxRH only reaching towards 30-35%.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    (5-15%) between 9am and 5pm.
CWR.................3 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 107.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Haines Index........5
LAL.................1
Wind (20 ft)........North/Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to
                    the west 7 to 12 mph around 3pm with gusts to
                    around 20 to 25 mph in the afternoon. A period
                    of southerly winds expected between 11am and
                    3pm, with gusts of around 20 mph possible
                    during this period.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers (20-30%) between 5pm and midnight.
CWR.................6 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........30-35 percent.
Haines Index........4
LAL.................1
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 11 mph with gusts 20 to 25 mph
                    through sunset shifting to the north/northeast by
                    midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 104.
Min humidity........7-12 percent.
Haines Index........3
LAL.................1
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 5 to 10 mph by noon with gusts up
                    around 15 mph in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...KB
Requested by...PJ Lingley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416074.0/PSR
.DELDT 06/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL plingley@dffm.az.gov