452
FXUS64 KSHV 071911
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
211 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday Night)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Quiet weather is expected to continue over the next 36-hours, as
high pressure ebb and flows off to our west. Due to this ridge,
winds will continue to hover between 5-10 MPH in the afternoon,
with very limited to speak of in the cloud department as well.
Afternoon highs will continue to range in the mid to upper-90s,
with lows getting into the mid-70s. Some locations may hit or
exceed Heat Advisory criteria tomorrow, but I decided against
issuing one since tomorrow is the hottest day of this stretch, and
temperatures will begin to drop by Sunday.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Thursday)
Issued at 144 PM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

The upper-level pattern will begin to break down into Sunday, as
a trough and cold front begin to move south from the Midwest. This
cold front will be responsible for increasing rain chances across
the area into Monday, and slightly dropping afternoon highs into
Tuesday. Thankfully, additional widespread rainfall is not
expected with this front, and severe weather chances appear to be
limited at this time as well. However, it`s worth mentioning that
some guidance is hinting at a secondary trough moving through the
region into Wednesday, which could bring some more organized rain
chances back to the region. Even if that were to happen, this
secondary system appears to be very progressive, and will likely
be clear of the area by Thursday night.

From there, it looks as if we begin to enter into a typical
"summer time" pattern, with rain chances becoming diurnally driven
in our southern zones, and afternoon highs climbing to the 90s
each day.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1146 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the TAF period. Winds out
of the east/southeast will be around 5-7 kts this afternoon,
becoming light 5 kts or less overnight. Winds will begin to shift
more south/southwest Saturday morning becoming 5-10 kts.

BF/Kovacik

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  74  96  75  94 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  66  95  71  94 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  68  92  70  92 /   0   0   0  10
TXK  72  96  74  94 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  68  95  72  94 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  73  93  72  92 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  72  94  72  92 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  72  96  72  93 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...23