741
FXUS64 KSJT 200712
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
212 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

...New SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 212 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024

Expect hot and humid conditions today as a strong upper level high
pressure ridge(current 500 MB temperatures around 0 deg C) remains
over the Southern Plains. Heat Index values may reach 100 to 105
across much of the area for a few hours this afternoon due to low
level moisture combining with the above normal temperatures. Highs
will be 95 to 100. If you have to be outside, please follow heat
safety precautions. Expect another warm and humid night with lows
70 to 75.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 157 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Above normal temperatures and dry conditions will continue on
Saturday, as the upper ridge remains over the area. A pattern
change will occur beginning Sunday, as the ridge breaks down
ahead of a shortwave trough that will lift northeast across the
southern Rockies Saturday night and into the central Plains by
Sunday night. Associated weak cold is expected to affect the area
Sunday night and early Monday, with rain chances increasing
across the area. Carrying a low to medium chance for showers and
thunderstorms Sunday into Monday. Still a rather uncertain
forecast by mid week, as models differ regarding the timing and
eventual evolution of another upper level trough to our west. Due
to the uncertainty, will maintain NBM low to medium rain chances
for Tuesday and Wednesday, with dry conditions for Thursday.
Temperatures will be cooler as we head into next week, with highs
mainly in the 80s and overnight lows mainly in the 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Thu Sep 19 2024

Expect mainly VFR conditions for the next 24 hours. However, a few
hours of MVFR ceilings are possible at the southern terminals
Friday morning due to southerly flow and low level moisture.
Expect south to southeast winds to be a little gusty Friday
afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     96  73  95  71 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  97  73  95  71 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    95  71  93  68 /  10   0   0   0
Brownwood   97  71  95  69 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  96  74  94  73 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       92  73  90  71 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       94  71  92  68 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...21