437
FNUS75 KSLC 211137
FWSSLC

Spot Forecast for Elizabeth Ridge...Northern Utah Interagency Fire Center
National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT
537 AM MDT Sat Sep 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MDT on September 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...An area of low pressure will track through southern Utah
today and then move off into Colorado by Sunday. Just enough moisture
associated with this low will make it up into northern Utah to support
afternoon cumulus buildups, along with isolated showers. There is about
a 15% chance for an isolated thunderstorm as well, mainly after 1300 or
1400 this afternoon. This will diminish early Saturday evening. Expect
additional cumulus buildup Sunday afternoon as well, with a very low
(less than 15% chance) of an isolated afternoon shower. Dry northwest
flow will build into the area through Tuesday, followed by a ridge of
high pressure for midweek. Troughs will try and graze the area by
next weekend, but at this point we don`t see any signficiant cold fronts
or precipitation producers in the Monday-Friday timeframe. Look for
seasonable temperatures early in the week warming to 5F to 15F above
normal by late in the week. Good overnight RH recovery will persist
into midweek with slight drying by late in the week, when daily min
RH will drop into the low 20 percent range while overnight RH drops
in the 70 percent range.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent cloud cover) then
                    becoming mostly cloudy (65-75 percent cloud
                    cover). Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2.
Max temperature.....63-65.
Min humidity........30-32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South to southeast winds 2-6 mph becoming northeast
                    5-13 mph around 1200. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....25-27.
Max humidity........96-98 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5-12 mph decreasing to 3-8 mph
                    around 2000, then becoming southeast 2-6 mph
                    around 2400.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent cloud cover).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....62-64.
Min humidity........31-33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 2-6 mph becoming north 4-10 mph
                    around 1800 .
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph becoming northwest
                    around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3.

$$
Forecaster...ADeSmet
Requested by...Bryant Greczyn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422479.4/SLC
.DELDT 09/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jared.peak@usda.gov,bryant.greczyn@usda.gov