718
FNUS76 KSTO 172101
FWSSTO

Spot Forecast for Park Fire...USFS
National Weather Service Sacramento CA
201 PM PDT Tue Sep 17 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 PDT on September 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms expected along the
Sierra and adjacent foothills on Wednesday. Rain showers are
expected to move near the fire early Wednesday morning with
chances for thunderstorms (15-25% chance) from late morning
Wednesday to Wednesday evening.

Any thunderstorm that does develop carries the threat of
exceeding flash flood criteria causing debris flow issues. There
is a 25-40% chance of rain amounts exceeding 0.25", highest along
the eastern portions of the burn scar.

After Thursday morning, conditions are expected to warm and dry
with above normal temperatures expected by early next week.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely through the
                    day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....58-63.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds up to 5 mph becoming northwest
                    4 to 8 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........East winds 4 to 7 mph becoming northwest
                    7 to 12 mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Rising to near 5200 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph.
CWR.................70 percent.
LAL.................2.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Min temperature.....34-38.
Max humidity........98-100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......Near 5200 ft AGL in the early evening, falling to
                    near 600 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 8 mph.
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................2.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
Max temperature.....66-71.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northerly winds 5 to 8 mph, shifting to a west-
                    southwesterly direction in the late afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......Rising to near 7200 ft AGL by the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...NR
Requested by...Brian J. Watts
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2422632.0/STO
.DELDT 09/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2024.park.plans@firenet.gov, jacob.botts@usda.gov