744
FXUS62 KTBW 120526
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
126 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 757 PM EDT Tue Jun 11 2024

A weak low pressure centered just offshore of Manatee/Sarasota
counties is leading to a corridor of heavier rainfall in
Sarasota. Between 3 to 6 inches of rain has fallen with widespread
reports of flooding in the area. This heavy rain will shift to
the southeast over the next hour or two. Then, overnight, a
diminishing trend is expected in terms of coverage of rain and
storms, especially across the Tampa Bay region. On and off
activity will continue for SWFL throughout the overnight period.
Overall forecast remains unchanged with the heaviest rainfall
amounts through Saturday centered across Lee and Charlotte
counties where a Flood Watch is currently in effect.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 123 AM EDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Widespread showers and storms are currently ongoing at most of the
terminals sites. The southern terminals of RSW and FMY are seeing
a brief break in the precipitation but expect another wave of
precipitation will developed there near daybreak. Timing each of
these waves of precipitation is difficult and have VCTS mentioned
throughout much of the TAF period. Expect flight conditions will
generally be MVFR with some period of IFR in heavier downpours and
even some periods of VFR as well during breaks in the rain.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  87  78  86  78 /  90  80  90  80
FMY  86  76  84  76 / 100  90 100  90
GIF  88  75  86  76 /  90  80  90  70
SRQ  87  76  86  76 /  90  90 100  90
BKV  89  72  87  71 /  90  60  90  70
SPG  86  80  86  80 / 100  80 100  90

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 5
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 4

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Flood Watch through Thursday evening for Coastal Charlotte-
     Coastal Lee-Coastal Manatee-Coastal Sarasota-DeSoto-Hardee-
     Inland Charlotte-Inland Lee-Inland Manatee-Inland Sarasota.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Anderson
DECISION SUPPORT...Fleming
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Fleming