Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
733 FXUS62 KTBW 291323 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 923 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .UPDATE... Issued at 920 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024 It`s another warm and muggy start to the day with partly cloudy skies across west central and southwest Florida. Temperatures are already in the mid to upper 80`s with dew points in the mid to upper 70`s. The 12Z morning sounding is still showing abundant moisture with a PWAT of 1.54 inches. Water vapor imagery is showing some drier air over northern Florida which is expected to advect southward through the day today. This will limit the chances of any rain development over west central Florida with rain limited to south Florida. No significant changes needed to current forecast. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 920 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024 VFR conditions with light winds this morning become WNW around 8-13 knots this afternoon. Will hold off mentioning any weather at all terminals at this time as it appears most rain chances will remain over south Florida away from all the terminals. Winds become light and variable once again overnight. && .MARINE... Issued at 920 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024 Weak high pressure builds in over the southeast U.S. through the end of the week. This will produce north-northwest through north- northeast winds 15 knots or less and seas 2 feet or less. Rain chances remain on the low side (20-40 percent) through the period. By Saturday, the high pressure moves off the Carolina coastline and will bring a shift in winds to a more easterly direction around 15 knots through the weekend. This will also produce an uptick in the seas to around 3 feet on Sunday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 95 76 95 76 / 0 0 10 10 FMY 95 75 96 75 / 20 10 20 20 GIF 97 72 97 72 / 10 0 10 10 SRQ 94 74 94 76 / 0 0 10 10 BKV 96 66 97 67 / 0 0 10 0 SPG 93 79 94 80 / 0 0 10 10 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 8 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Thursday: 2 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Close