003
FXUS64 KTSA 110516
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1216 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(The rest of tonight)
Issued at 927 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

Southwest periphery of the surface ridge axis remains over
the forecast area this evening. Weak upper wave moving through TX
generating mid and high clouds across E OK and NW AR with
relatively dry air in place. Forecast overnight low temperatures
look good and are in line with the latest observations, and
remaining first period elements look good as well. Therefore, no
update is planned at this time.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Monday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Mon Jun 10 2024

The next several days will feature only minimal rain chances. A
weak mid level low presently located over eastern NM is forecast
to drop southeast over the next couple of days, with influence
limited to some mid and high clouds as precip chances remain
focused to our southwest. By mid week the surface high will shift
east as ridging aloft strengthens over our region, with
temperatures and humidity responding accordingly. Another weak
wave will slide across the northwest side of the ridge by the
weekend, but impacts likely to remain north and west. Next chance
of showers and thunderstorms looks to be at the end of this
forecast period as weak wave lifts out of the Gulf of Mexico
early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1216 AM CDT Tue Jun 11 2024

Scattered to broken high clouds along with few to scattered mid
clouds are forecast across the CWA through the TAF period as a
shortwave drops southeast across Texas. Winds through the period
are forecast to remain light and variable. VFR conditions should
persist through the TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  91  70  93 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   66  90  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   64  89  66  91 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   62  91  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   62  89  65  91 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   60  87  64  90 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   63  88  66  90 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   62  87  65  89 /   0   0   0   0
F10   63  87  65  90 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   65  86  64  89 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...23
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...20