126
FXUS64 KTSA 130028
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
728 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 728 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

The going forecast remains on track. Gradually increasing
dewpoints will lead to warmer overnight lows tonight compared to
the previous few nights. Our area remains on the eastern periphery
of influence from a large upper high over the Southwest,
maintaining hot and dry weather for the time being.

Lacy

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Through tonight )
Issued at 206 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Quiet weather tonight, with light south wind and higher dew
points resulting in warmer overnight lows.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tomorrow through Wednesday)
Issued at 206 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

Upper ridge over the Four Corners will expand into the Southern
PLains Thursday, with hotter and more humid airmass spreading
north. A Northern stream wave will push a cold front south,
eventually reaching central KS by late Thursday, with scattered
storms developing along the boundary, with a non-zero chance of
some making a run at northeast OK. General consensus among
guidance remains for these storms to largely fade before making
it this far south, and as such the forecast for Thursday night
into Friday remains dry.

The above mentioned boundary will remain just to our northeast
through Friday, possibly keeping low storm chances near our
forecast area for both Friday and Saturday. Otherwise hot and
humid conditions will continue. A stronger wave then moves into
the Central Plains Saturday night with low storm chances
spreading into northeast OK late Saturday night into Sunday
morning. Ridge axis will then shift far enough east to allow
deeper subtropical moisture to move north out of the Gulf, with
low precip chances returning early next week, along with a slight
break in the heat for a day or two.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 608 PM CDT Wed Jun 12 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period for all
sites as high pressure dominates the region. Some patchy
visibility reductions are possible near rivers or lakes late
tonight, but confidence is too low to mention at any site at this
time. Otherwise near calm winds tonight will come up again out of
the south-southwest during the day tomorrow generally from
5-10 knots with some higher gusts near 15 knots possible across
NE OK sites tomorrow afternoon.

Bowlan

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   69  94  71  96 /   0   0  10  10
FSM   67  93  69  96 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   66  91  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   66  93  68  94 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   64  91  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   64  91  67  93 /   0   0  10  10
MKO   67  91  69  93 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   66  90  68  92 /   0   0  10  10
F10   67  90  67  93 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   65  89  67  92 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...04